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Quant AI SP500

Equity · Stocks · Started Sep 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
39.2%
Max Drawdown
7.8%
Trades
495
Win Trades
92.3%
Profit Factor
7.80
Win Months
73.3%
Subscribe $199/mo

About this strategy

Fully automated quantitative strategy trading the S&P 500 universe (~400 stocks). The algorithm identifies price dislocations on systematically selected stocks and enters positions when stocks deviate significantly from fair value. Take-profit targets are dynamically calculated per position and adjust as market conditions evolve. Position sizing scales with account equity, and the strategy can add to positions during deeper dislocations to improve cost basis. Max 25 concurrent positions. Designed for steady compounding through high-probability gains — 425 trades, profit factor 12.2, Sharpe 2.09, Sortino 4.18. Average trade duration 17 days. Max drawdown -7.5%. Runs during US market hours continuously monitoring cycles.

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20250.2-2.02.21.31.7
2026-0.45.0-2.37.70.41.411.47.5-6.09.64.343.9

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/22/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age14 months
C2 Rank996
Rank at C2 %Top 0.4%
Rank ##3
What it tradesStocks
# Trades495
# Profitable457
% Profitable92.3%
Avg trade duration17.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown7.8%
drawdown periodMarch 04, 2026 - March 27, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)39.2%
Avg win$85
Avg loss$143

Ratios

W:L ratio7.79
Sharpe Ratio1.69
Sortino Ratio2.82
Calmar Ratio5.78

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.38
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life13.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)33.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)39.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.4%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)42.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss15.5%
Chance of 20% account loss1.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.9%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)985
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)994
C2 Score996
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)992

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$143
Avg Win$85
# Winners457
Sum Trade PL (losers)$5,432
Sum Trade PL (winners)$38,919
Num Months Winners11
# Losers38
% Winners92.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct1685

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table15

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)25365.43
Avg Position Time (hrs)422.76
Avg Trade Length17.60
Last Trade Ago1

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.16
Daily leverage (max)2.50

Regression

Alpha0.08
Beta0.45
Treynor Index0.20

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades10.10
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.14
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.75
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.79
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.35
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.96
df12
t2.18
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.00
Sortino ratio9.67
Upside Potential Ratio10.89
Upside part of mean0.40
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms3
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.35
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.43
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.61
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error11
t(b)1.60
p(b)0.07
t(a)1.69
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.63
Treynor index (mean / b)0.58
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
Mean0.34
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.96
df12
t2.17
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.99
Sortino ratio9.03
Upside Potential Ratio10.25
Upside part of mean0.38
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms3
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.34
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.43
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.59
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.26
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error11
t(b)1.59
p(b)0.07
t(a)1.71
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.60
Treynor index (mean / b)0.57
Jensen alpha (a)0.26
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.37
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.34
df297
t2.50
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.19
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.18
Sortino ratio3.95
Upside Potential Ratio11.78
Upside part of mean1.11
Downside part of mean-0.74
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms175
N negative terms123
N of observations298
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.37
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.37
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.32
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error296
t(b)6.87
p(b)0
t(a)2.32
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.59
Treynor index (mean / b)0.86
Jensen alpha (a)0.32
Mean0.36
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.26
df297
t2.42
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.11
Sortino ratio3.78
Upside Potential Ratio11.59
Upside part of mean1.10
Downside part of mean-0.74
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms175
N negative terms123
N of observations298
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.37
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.31
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error296
t(b)6.85
p(b)0
t(a)2.26
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)0.83
Jensen alpha (a)0.31
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.62
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.69
df130
t2.62
p0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.88
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.50
Sortino ratio6.93
Upside Potential Ratio15.20
Upside part of mean1.36
Downside part of mean-0.74
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms79
N negative terms52
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.04
Mean of criterion0.62
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.61
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)2.50
p(b)0.36
t(a)2.63
p(a)0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.07
Treynor index (mean / b)2.43
Jensen alpha (a)0.61
Mean0.61
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.64
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.62
df130
t2.57
p0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.44
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.42
Sortino ratio6.73
Upside Potential Ratio14.98
Upside part of mean1.35
Downside part of mean-0.74
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms79
N negative terms52
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.03
Mean of criterion0.61
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.60
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)2.52
p(b)0.36
t(a)2.59
p(a)0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.06
Treynor index (mean / b)2.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.60
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations13
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.94
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.51
Number of observations298
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low6
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.00
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.22
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.22
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations30
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high0.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.83
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations20
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.39
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.99
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1110946176
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)23
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.41
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.40
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs10.74
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.11
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.44
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.43
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)5.78
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs8.93
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal23.19
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.71
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.84
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)14.61
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs20.42
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal44.50

Trading record

Placed 61 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
DLTR long32Nov 5, 2026Nov 12, 2026$142
MTCH long59Nov 6, 2026Nov 10, 2026$44
FCX long195Nov 4, 2026Nov 6, 2026$175
CMCSA long93Nov 4, 2026Nov 5, 2026$34
L long20Oct 29, 2026Nov 5, 2026$52
WFC long26Nov 4, 2026Nov 5, 2026$89
LUV long50Nov 4, 2026Nov 4, 2026$39
ESS long8Oct 28, 2026Nov 4, 2026$47
FFIV long6Nov 4, 2026Nov 4, 2026$30
PWR long3Nov 4, 2026Nov 4, 2026$22
FTNT long18Nov 4, 2026Nov 4, 2026$25
ZBH long23Nov 3, 2026Nov 4, 2026$201
MSFT long4Oct 30, 2026Nov 4, 2026$93
PARA long520Nov 3, 2026Nov 3, 2026($38)
VRSN long7Oct 20, 2026Nov 3, 2026$34
CDW long58Oct 23, 2026Oct 30, 2026$139
SWK long22Oct 29, 2026Oct 29, 2026$40
AMZN long9Oct 29, 2026Oct 29, 2026$42
AMGN long4Oct 28, 2026Oct 29, 2026$60
TER long7Oct 28, 2026Oct 28, 2026$49
HWM long11Oct 22, 2026Oct 28, 2026$38
AON long7Oct 26, 2026Oct 28, 2026$72
TXN long7Oct 23, 2026Oct 26, 2026$32
DD long16Oct 22, 2026Oct 23, 2026$39
SEDG long66Oct 21, 2026Oct 23, 2026$33
CHTR long20Oct 22, 2026Oct 22, 2026$50
DRI long10Oct 22, 2026Oct 22, 2026($6)
WAB long7Oct 21, 2026Oct 21, 2026$39
TER long6Oct 20, 2026Oct 21, 2026$46
HIG long16Oct 16, 2026Oct 20, 2026$45

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.